
Due to the upcoming holiday, this will be the last issue of the week. We look forward to catching up on the market Monday.
The crypto markets are writing their own rules again—and this time, they're borrowing from Wall Street's playbook while keeping one foot firmly planted in rebellion.
As DeFi's total value locked rebounds toward $100 billion, we're witnessing something unprecedented: a market simultaneously maturing and reinventing itself. Fixed-rate lending protocols are conjuring digital yield curves that rival traditional finance, while prediction markets command $100 billion in notional volume—reshaping how we bet on everything from elections to economics. The ecosystem is no longer just disrupting; it's absorbing and improving upon the very systems it once sought to replace.
This week, we explore how Solana's prop AMMs have captured 40% of on-chain liquidity while pulling in institutional capital that Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are hemorrhaging. We decode why equity perpetuals are becoming crypto's "future dominant narrative," examine the $120 billion anchoring U.S. Bitcoin ETFs to Wall Street's trading clock, and unpack Animoca's stark warning: "Tokenize or die."
Whether you're tracking institutional flows that now dwarf entire national economies or watching retail and quantitative traders finally find common ground, one thing is clear: we're not just watching markets move—we're witnessing the architecture of global finance get rebuilt in real time.
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Fixed-Rate Frontiers — DeFi’s New Playbook for Predictability and Power
Borrowing costs once whipsawed DeFi into speculative chaos; now, blockchain’s engineers are laying the foundations for a more stable, institution-grade landscape.
Total Value Locked in DeFi has rebounded to nearly $100 billion, a figure buoyed by fixed-rate borrowing protocols and a swelling appetite for real-world asset integration. “We settled on a design where you have intents and they ultimately settle on the pool,” explains Marius Ciubotariu, Kamino’s $KMNO ( ▲ 2.04% ) founder, whose fixed-rate mechanisms aim to replicate a digital yield curve and foster genuine price discovery. Such tools, previously the purview of traditional finance, are now finding elegant on-chain analogues.
Prediction markets, anointed by Kunal of LayerZero Foundation as “uniquely only enabled by” crypto rails, are poised to clear over $100 billion in notional volume—an indicator of the sector’s capacity to not just mirror, but steer, real-world sentiment. Their expansion signals the emergence of DeFi as a vector of influence for markets and politics alike.
Retail dynamics are shifting apace. Avi Felman notes, “You see it in the charts… these two worlds are coming together,” alluding to narrative-driven trading blending seamlessly with quantitative rigour. In this evolving landscape, retail and institutional investors find themselves trading on common ground—backed by tokenized treasury bills, curated protocols, and democratized access to increasingly sophisticated market instruments.
The next chapter for DeFi is less about outsized yield-chasing and more about reliability, scale, and blurring the lines between traditional and on-chain finance. Institutions are circling with purpose—and this time, they may just stay.
Solana’s Fast Lane—Prop AMMs, Neobanking, and a New DeFi Zeitgeist
Investor flows are deserting the old guard and finding a new home: Solana’s unforgivingly fast rails.
With Solana $SOL ( ▲ 3.31% ) staking out more of DeFi’s frontier, the ecosystem is showing signs of economic gravity. Prop AMMs now command over 40% of Solana’s on-chain liquidity, a development that Sam Ruskin of Messari deems “a front-running role in DeFi advancements.” The prop AMM model—staking pools driven by professional market makers—yields not just deeper markets but sharper price discovery, sharpening Solana’s edge on efficiency.
Strategic capital flows back the trend. While Bitcoin $BTC ( ▼ 0.0% ) and Ethereum $ETH ( ▼ 0.97% ) ETFs saw consistent outflows, Solana ETFs reported $66.55 million in fresh inflows, a striking vote of confidence in the chain’s prospects as a next-generation financial platform. As Sunny, now at Syncracy Capital, puts it: “Equity perps present the highest upside in the current crypto narrative, potentially transforming Solana into a hub for novel, tradable financial products.”
The ecosystem’s ambitions now extend to integrating real-world assets and forging new neobanking rails—territory Marius Ciubotariu of Kamino thinks will position Solana as “a gigantic on-chain marketplace, compelling further liquidity movement due to its cost-efficiency and asset diversity.” Regulatory clarity remains elusive, but the appetite for tokenized RWAs and non-EVM innovation is only gathering steam.
In a cycle thick with copycat chains, Solana’s deviations feel less like divergence and more like a confident acceleration—a taste of what post-EVM capital markets may look like.
Derivative Drama — Betting on the Edge of Crypto Finance
Speculation remains the lifeblood of crypto, but recent innovation is redrawing its boundaries.
Prediction markets and equity perpetuals are rapidly gathering pace, blurring the lines between decentralized bravado and institutional caution. The numbers speak for themselves: one new prediction market amassed nearly $6 billion in volume within two months, while sector-wide figures are closing in on $45 billion this year, with some, like LayerZero’s Kunal, projecting volumes will soon “trade over a $100 billion notional.”
Sunny, investor at Syncracy Capital, sees these venues as the next battleground for market share. Equity perpetuals, in his view, are becoming crypto’s “future dominant narrative,” enticing traders with products once reserved for the rarefied air of traditional finance. “Speed wins, and there's a lot that typical retail traders are gated out of,” he notes—a nod to the market’s ongoing democratization and arms race in access.
Messari’s Sam Ruskin calls it a “Goldilocks zone”—favourable liquidity conditions, regulatory liminality, and institutional curiosity converging to create asymmetric opportunity. These are not mere financial novelties; they’re launching pads for new capital formation, offering up to 8–10% yields where Treasuries languish below 4%.
Yet risks and sophistication scale in tandem. Markets once dominated by digital natives are drawing in a broader class of speculators, while the regulatory lens sharpens on yield products and tokenized equities alike.
These innovations don’t just evolve markets—they reshape the voter base for the future of finance, one directional bet at a time.
Trading Places—Institutions Muscle In: Crypto’s New Center of Gravity
Institutional capital no longer circles the crypto ecosystem; it is anchoring the main stage.
The story is told in billions: U.S. Bitcoin ETFs now boast $120 billion in assets under management, eclipsing the €1.6 billion managed by their European peers. These flows have redrawn the trading clock, with liquidity and price action tethered ever more closely to U.S. market hours. Jean-Marie Mognetti of CoinShares calls it “a bittersweet story,” noting, “Bitcoin winning is actually a bittersweet story because Bitcoin winning means that the world in which we live has failed to evolve.” For him, ETFs have brought professionalized volatility management but haven’t delivered the explosive upside retail may have expected.
From the lender’s seat, Craig Birchall of FalconX observes the tightening: “We’ve moved further toward a middle ground on risk—no more lending blind, but far from the days of 200% overcollateralization.” His outlook is one of cautious optimism; while leverage-fueled surges may be waning, stability—underpinned by compliance and risk frameworks—is the new premium.
Yet the narrative is not monolithic. Animoca’s Yat Siu tilts away from Bitcoin maximalism, arguing, “Tokenize or die. If you don’t tokenize, you will lose to the competitor who has tokenized themselves”—a nod to the future lying in utility-driven altcoins and sectoral adoption across DeFi and gaming.
As the crypto market becomes indistinguishable from traditional finance in its mechanics, the question tilts from whether institutions will dominate to how the future of decentralization will be interpreted—and by whom.
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Disclaimer: The information provided in this newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are speculative and involve significant risk. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.


